minsta

Latest investigations into Harris vs. Trump

Pabio October 29, 2024

The presidential election It’s just a week away and Democrat Kamala Harris And Republican Donald Trump are neck and neck in their efforts to win over voters in key battlefield states.

The latest polls show close races between the two presidential candidates in Wisconsin, Minnesota and Michigan. Nationally, Harris appears to have finally gained a one-point lead over Trump in the last election. survey by TIPP After three consecutive days of the two being practically equal.

Given these razor-thin margins, it’s no surprise that Trump and Harris spent the final days of their campaigns holding rallies and courting voters in swing states.

Assetwho is planned to host a new conference On Tuesday at Mar-a-Lago, there will also be an evening gathering in Allentown, Pennsylvania, located about 60 miles northwest of Philadelphia. Harris is ready to appear for rally in Washington DCin the same place where Trump gave a fiery speech it was almost four years before a crowd of his supporters stormed the capital on January 6, 2021.

Here is what you need to know about the presidential election on Tuesday, October 29:

2024 Elections Live Updates: Trump holds AP rally, Harris delivers speech in Washington; latest polls

Trump leads Harris 48% to 47% in Wisconsin, USA TODAY/Suffolk poll finds

Trump and Harris are nearly tied in Wisconsin, 48% to 47%. according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll of 500 likely voters.

The results were within the poll’s 4.4 percentage point margin of error. The survey was conducted from October 20 to 23.

In Door County, Wisconsin, which has been a bellwether for the state, Harris has a slight advantage. Harris leads Trump in this area, 50% to 47%, according to the poll of 300 likely Door County voters. The results are still within the margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

While there is usually a gender gap Between Trump and Harris supporters, David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Center for Political Research, said the effects of the gap are more pronounced in the state.

In Wisconsin, Harris has a 14-point advantage over Trump among women, 55% to 41%. But Trump is up 18 percentage points among men over Harris, 56% to 38%.

Harris leads Trump 48% to 45% in Minnesota poll

There are still a few undecided voters left in Minnesota to support Trump or Harris as the finish line approaches, a new MinnPost-Embold Research survey found.

The survey of 1,734 likely voters in the state showed Harris with a slight advantage over Trump, 48 to 45 percent, nearly mirroring the result of a similar poll last month. The results were within the poll’s 2.4 percentage point margin of error.

Only 2% of those surveyed said they were undecided, compared to 3% in September. The survey was conducted between October 16 and 22.

Among the candidates and their vice-presidential running mates, only Tim Walz benefits from a positive favorability rate (2%) in a state of which he is also governor. Steven Schier, professor emeritus of political science at Carleton College, said Walz’s high favorable ratings “probably result in a slight improvement” for Harris.

Harris leads Trump by three percentage points in new Michigan poll

Harris holds a narrow three-point lead over Trump in a new survey commissioned by WDIV Local 4 News and Detroit News.

The poll of 600 people surveyed Oct. 22-24 shows Harris leading 47 to 44 percent, with a margin of error of 4 percent.

Echoing other polls, the new survey finds that jobs and the economy continue to motivate voters, with 41.4% saying it is the main issue of the election . Nearly 20% said immigration was the main problem.

Harris gains slight advantage in latest TIPP poll

After three days of gridlock, Harris appears to have taken a slight one-point advantage over Trump in 2017. TIPP follow-up survey starting Tuesday morning.

Harris now leads 48% to 47% in the latest online survey of 1,291 likely voters, conducted Saturday through Monday with a margin of error of 2.7 points.

However, the poll shows that for 53% of Americans, the economy is worse than before the pandemic. Democrats are the most optimistic, with 51% saying they are better off, while 68% of Republicans say they feel worse off.

Independents largely reflect the national mood, with 55% saying the economic situation is worse.

“This discontent is a headwind for Harris that Trump could exploit,” according to the poll.

Things to Keep in Mind About Surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the survey results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, where Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.

Contribute : Rebecca MorinTHE UNITED STATES TODAY

Eric Lagatta covers the latest news and trends for USA TODAY. Contact him at [email protected]