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How the nation returned to Trump in 2024
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How the nation returned to Trump in 2024

Pennsylvania, a Crucial swing statewent red in 2016, blue in 2020 and returned to red in 2024.

How offsets are calculated: In 2020, Joseph R. Biden, Jr., won Pennsylvania by 1.2 percentage points. In 2024, Mr. Trump won the state by 1.9 points on Wednesday night. The gap between these margins is the offset, which in this case is 3.1 points in favor of the Republicans.

Other swing states

The other four swing states that were called so far also moved to the right, sealing Mr. Trump’s second presidential victory. In Georgia, Mr. Trump reversed two consecutive blue shifts.

Cities and suburbs

Although Mr. Trump lost to Kamala Harris in many swing state cities and suburbs, he did so by a smaller margin than he did to now-President Biden in 2020. In all examples below , except one, two shifts towards blue in 2016 and 2020 were followed by a shift towards red in 2024.

Rural-urban divide

Across the country, in counties where almost all voting occurs, the trend was similar. Support for Mr. Trump continued to grow in rural counties, while Ms. Harris lost ground in cities and suburbs.

Race and ethnicity

Mr. Trump made significant inroads with Latino voters in 2020. In this election, he continued to increase his margins in counties with large populations of Hispanic residents. There have also been shifts to the right in counties with large populations of Black and Native American residents.

Education level

Mr. Trump’s margins have widened over the past three elections in counties with large populations of residents without college degrees. But in this election, he also gained ground in counties with a high proportion of college graduates.

Economic types

In 2024, Mr. Trump’s support for agricultural counties has continued to grow. It also reversed Democratic gains in mining and manufacturing counties.

Age

Mr. Trump is generally more popular with older voters, but his electoral performance has improved among other age groups.

Across the country

In the 34 states where at least 95% of the vote was received as of Wednesday evening, the vote margin for Mr. Trump increased, even in places historically favorable to Democrats.