The Republican Party is poised to retain a majority in the House of Representatives, which would give the Republican Party full control of the federal government for the first time since 2017-2018.

As of Friday morning, according to projections from Decision Desk headquarters and Scripps News, Republicans are projected to win 216 seats, just two short of the 218 needed for a majority. Democrats won 204 seats, according to projections.

There are still 15 races left to predict, with Democrats leading in 10, Republicans in three and two without a clear leader.

Republican candidates are currently leading in California’s 41st and 45th districts and Alaska’s at-large district. Assuming the GOP wins those seats and nothing more, the Republican Party would maintain its majority in the House with 219 members.

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There are still a number of mail-in ballots left to count for the Alaska race between Nick Begich and Mary Peltola. Even though Begich has a 4 percentage point advantage, mail-in ballots are expected to favor Peltola. It remains to be seen whether these results will be enough to give him the lead in the election.

The Decision Desk seat gives the Republican Party a 92.9% chance of retaining the House.

Based on current results, Decision Desk HQ estimates that the Republican Party will have 222 seats in the next Congress, compared to 213 for the Democrats.

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This year’s congressional election results largely mirror those of 2022. Currently, the Republican Party has 220 seats in the House, Democrats control 212 districts, and three seats are currently vacant.

Such a slim margin proved difficult for Republicans. Once they reached a majority in 2023, members of Congress needed several rounds of voting before deciding to install Kevin McCarthy as Speaker of the House. In less than a year, several party members revolted against McCarthy for working with Democrats on a budget bill and forced him out of the presidency. The party then voted for Mike Johnson for president.