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Toss Game: Betting early on the Bombers pays off as they are heavy Gray Cup favorites
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Toss Game: Betting early on the Bombers pays off as they are heavy Gray Cup favorites

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers entered the CFL season as favorites to win the Gray Cup at +200 at FanDuel.

Winnipeg’s odds of winning it all have jumped to +500 after an 0-3 start to the season.

The Bombers reached +1000 to win the Gray Cup at FanDuel after falling to 0-4.

Of course, it would have been easy to write off Winnipeg after a terrible start to the season.

After all, the Montreal Alouettes entered the game with a 5-0 record and have outscored their opponents by an average of 11.6 points per game over their first five weeks.

Vernon Adams Jr. was an early favorite to win the CFL MVP award after the BC Lions opened the year on a high note.

The Saskatchewan Roughriders and Toronto Argonauts also looked good from the start and found themselves with lower odds of winning it all than the Bombers by the time we got to Week 6 of the CFL.

At the time, I was circling Winnipeg as a potential pick to win the Gray Cup at FanDuel.

My logic was simple.

The Bombers were a perennial contender who began the year as a Gray Cup favorite and even after stumbling early on, they were still clearly a better team than some of the other teams in the CFL.

Winnipeg still had all the tools to make another playoff run and with a relatively weaker schedule the rest of the way, it seemed like the perfect time to take a chance on Zach Collaros and company to win it all.

There were only three or four teams that looked like they had the potential to compete with the Bombers in a playoff game and all things considered, I liked the value with Winnipeg at +1000.

The Bombers’ chances of winning the Gray Cup only diminished thereafter.

By the time we got to Labor Day, Winnipeg was down to +470 to win the Gray Cup at FanDuel.

The last call was the Bombers at +250 in early October.

After settling their affairs against the Saskatchewan Roughriders in the Western Final, the stage was set for Winnipeg to become a potential favorite to win the Gray Cup.

Turns out the Argonauts beat the Alouettes in the Eastern final, but they also lost their star quarterback Chad Kelly to a devastating injury.

This injury means that Nick Arbuckle will start for Toronto in the Gray Cup.

This also means the Bombers are 10.5 point favorites against the Argonauts in the 111th Gray Cup.

Toronto is +390 to pull off the upset victory in the big game.

With several Winnipeg futures contracts in my pocket, I’ll take my time deciding what I want to do for the big game.

Given the price, I can buy cheap with a small position in the Argos and make a considerable profit regardless of the outcome of the game.

Four months after winning the Bombers at +1000, the final stage of the CFL season should be very profitable for all those who followed me with Winnipeg in my Morning Coffee column.