Since the departure of Sir Alex Ferguson in 2013, there has been a real managerial merry-go-round at Old Trafford. Last in the hot seat, the Portuguese coach Ruben Amorim will face his first challenge on November 24 against lowly Ipswich Town..

Every time a new manager is appointed in the Premier League, Discussions in the media revolve around the so-called “new manager bounce”.

The story behind it all The phenomenon is that the appointment of a new boss, regardless of his identity and insight, automatically increases the team’s results.. Particularly important for teams on the brink of relegation, United’s position in 12th in the Championship means such a boost would be greatly appreciated by fans.

Even if rebound is often mentioned, or even used in official league promotionsbut does it really exist?

The statistics behind the new manager rebound

In order to determine whether or not appointing a new manager results in a bounce, we need to define the parameters of what a bounce is. For the purposes of this brief investigation, we will use the five results before and after a permanent managerial appointment since the start of the 2022/2023 season. Only mid-season changes will count, as there would need to be some rebound to extend from May to August, and a nursery layoff must have occurred. All statistics were provided by Transfer market.

At that time there was 15 permanent managerial appointmentswith just three mid-season changes since the start of the 2023/24 season. Of those 14, Potter was not sacked by Brighton, in in more than two thirds of cases, there was an improvement in points after a new coach; each team was on average 3.5 points better.

The pace of coaching dismissals accelerated towards the end of the season, with teams lower in the table hoping to take advantage of the points increases. Of the three teams relegated in the 2022/2023 season, only Leicester saw a slight increase in points. (five to one) but were still relegated. Their manager Dean Smith had just eight games to turn things around, while Leeds, also relegated, gave Sam Allardyce just four games, picking up just one point.

There are limits to how big a bounce can be. Just because there was no initial “bounce” doesn’t mean a change in direction was a failure. and early enough change means the new boss has time to implement his ideas. 11 of the 14 changes also had a better points per game ratio than their predecessorsshowing that often a change of manager will improve the team in the long term while providing an initial boost.

For example, Crystal Palace replaced Roy Hodgson with Oliver Glasner in January. Despite a poor opening run of just five points in five games, two fewer than in Hodgson’s last five games, Glasner’s Palace remained unbeaten in the final seven games of the season, winning six.

Erik ten Hag, former head coach of Manchester United, finished his stay with a ratio of 1.22 points per game with only five points in their last five games. Amorim hopes to see this famous rebound in action and give United fans a pre-Christmas present.

How to watch the game

To watch the Premier League match between Ipswich Town and Manchester United connect to 11:30 a.m. ETfans in the United States have several options for live TV and streaming.

Fubo ooffers a 7-day free trialmaking it a great option for new subscribers. You can stream the game on various devices including computers, smartphones, tablets and smart TVs.

NBC Sports app: Available for streaming if you have a cable subscription that includes NBC.

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