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Trump and Harris remain tied, polls show, as they have for weeks
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Trump and Harris remain tied, polls show, as they have for weeks

If it seems like we have a particularly nail-biting election on our hands this cycle, well, that’s because we do.

The race for the White House hasn’t moved one way or the other in weeks and continues to move forward at a crawl. According to several recent major polls, Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remain in a statistical tie.

Sunday’s TIPP Tracking PollThe survey that accurately predicted a Trump victory in 2016 says the difference between the candidates remains “razor thin.”

“Today’s TIPP tracking poll shows no change, with Trump and Harris tied at 48% for the second day in a row,” those pollsters wrote.

TIPP noted that this could change over the next eight days, but probably not by much, and certainly not outside its 2.7 point margin of error.

“Just as takeoff and landing are the critical phases of any flight, so is the final part of a tracking survey,” they wrote, saying their sounder anticipates a “narrow range of 4 points – from Harris +2 to Trump +2 – as both candidates make their final approach toward Election Day.

A ABC News/Ipsos Poll also released Sunday showed a race that “remains close” and has been “relatively stable” since at least August.

“If the presidential election were held today, 51% of likely voters say they would support Harris and 47% would support Trump, statistically unchanged from the ABC News/Ipsos poll conducted earlier this month,” they said. -they write about their survey.

A new CBS/YouGov A survey showed the pair essentially tied — Harris has a single point lead — and were neck and neck in several swing states.

“It’s even across the composite battleground states, and Harris is down to a +1 in national vote preference,” CBS wrote about its pollnoting that “Harris had already been at +3 on the battlefields in September and was reduced to +1 two weeks ago.” Trump gradually erased the 4-point national advantage Harris had after their debate.

An Emerson College survey found a “divided electoratewhen they conducted their latest poll, according to Polling executive director Spencer Kimball.

“In this poll, independents say they voted for Trump by 49% to 46% – a reversal from 2020, when they said they voted for Biden by about ten points. Male voters differ by 13 points for Trump, 55% to 42%, a wider margin than in 2020, while women differ by ten points for Harris, 54% to 44%, under performing Biden’s support in 2020,” Kimball said.

That poll showed Trump and Harris tied at exactly 49% each.

According to poll aggregation data maintained by RealClearPoliticson this day in 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton was leading Trump by an average of 5.6 points in a national poll, and in 2020, President Joe Biden was leading Trump by 7.4 points.