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Election recounts rarely change results, but they help demonstrate integrity, political science professor says
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Election recounts rarely change results, but they help demonstrate integrity, political science professor says

Recounts may not change election results very often, but BC political scientist David Black says they play an increasingly vital role in demonstrating election integrity.

“There’s the quality control, the quality assurance, the self-correcting nature of our system that comes through and demonstrates that it works,” said Black, an associate professor at Royal Roads University of Greater Victoria.

Premier David Eby’s NDP claimed victory Monday in British Columbia’s Oct. 19 election, but the counting is not over.

Two judicial recounts were triggered at the end of the “final count” by the 27-vote victory of an NDP candidate in Surrey-Guildford and the 38-vote victory of a Conservative candidate in Kelowna Centre.

Elections BC says precinct election officials must request a judicial recount if the margin of victory is within 1/500th of all ballots counted in the precinct.

WATCH | David Eby outlines his plans for his next term as prime minister:

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Recounts are conducted by a judge of the British Columbia Supreme Court and may include all or part of the ballots from an election.

Elections BC said in a written response that the timing of the recount would depend on the presiding judge.

According to British Columbia Elections ActThe recount must take place within 15 days of the announcement of the official results of the elections, which took place on October 28.

Less room for human error in modern voting systems

Black said manual recounts were originally necessary to check for human errors in manual tabulation.

But Black said the need for recounts has not diminished with the advent of digital and automatic counting. Instead, it has grown, with voter skepticism rising about poorly understood technology.

Recounts – conducted by hand in the presence of human tellers, visibly checking each ballot – are “the most visible and publicly accessible parts” of an election operation to assure the public that their votes are counted accurately , he declared.

“At the end of the day, democracy is an act of faith,” Black said. “Over two million people voted in the last election in British Columbia, and democracy is a kind of black box. You vote, the machine does its job, and the result is an outcome that significantly affects your life.

“The distance between your vote – among two million – and this government on the other side, is long. And it really depends on your confidence that our nonpartisan election administration… (is) doing the job to ensure that integrity. “

Statements from the leaders of the BC NDP and Conservative Party while these counts were underway showed that both parties had confidence in the system, with members helping to oversee the counts and saying they were confident that the results were accurate.

Early recounts saw little change

There have already been three manual recounts in the British Columbia election, and they haven’t had much impact on the final result.

Full recounts were triggered in Juan de Fuca-Malahat and downtown Surrey because the NDP was leading by margins less than 100 after the initial count.

But the recount only saw the tallies vary by a few votes, and by the time mail-in and mail-in votes were completed, the NDP had won Juan de Fuca-Malahat and downtown Surrey by 141 votes and 236 votes respectively.

A man in a suit gives a thumbs up.
British Columbia Conservative Leader John Rustad gives a thumbs up after speaking to supporters on election night in Vancouver on October 19, 2024. Rustad says he has no concerns about integrity elections in British Columbia. (Ethan Cairns/The Canadian Press)

A partial recount also took place in Kelowna Centre, reducing the Conservative lead by four votes. The party still won by 38 votes, even though the judicial recount has now been triggered.

History also shows that it is not common to overturn election counts in British Columbia.

In 2020, a recount was held in West Vancouver-Sea to Sky, where BC Liberal candidate Jordan Sturdy was ahead by 41 votes. The recount increased his margin of victory to 60.

In 2013, a recount was called in Coquitlam-Maillardville, where the NDP’s Selina Robinson was ahead by 35 votes; she ultimately won by 41 votes.

There was no judicial recount in 2017.

The 2009 recount changed the result for one MP

Former Delta South independent MP Vicki Huntington acknowledged it was unusual for a recount to change election results.

But she has direct experience that this is the case very occasionally.

A woman in a gold dress speaks in a hallway.
Vicki Huntington, MP for Delta South, was the first independent MP elected to the British Columbia Legislative Assembly in 2009. (CBC)

In the 2009 British Columbia election, Huntington was behind by two votes in the initial count. A judicial recount found she won by 32 votes.

“Obviously, stories matter,” Huntington said.

“I think you’ll always want to have the opportunity to tell, because at the end of the day, you never know if someone was able to damage a machine or if a machine is damaged? So that story needs to be done by a human being to check the efficiency of the machines.”

It’s time to adapt

Huntington said it may take a few more digitally tabulated elections in British Columbia to “really get a sense of how the machines will have changed the process.”

For Black, the need for election authorities to show their processes transparently has only grown, given the “hyper politicization” of election logistics.

He said statements of confidence in B.C.’s electoral process from Conservative Leader John Rustad, whose party finished second in the election, and other members of his party showed that distrust of the province had not reached the level observed in the United States.

But he said agencies such as Elections BC need recounts as visible proof that administrators are looking for — and correcting — errors.

“That’s where the system self-corrects,” says Black. “This is where the system demonstrates its integrity to the public in a visible way.”