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The red-hot Jets are flying high and occupy the top spot in the NHL Power Rankings
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The red-hot Jets are flying high and occupy the top spot in the NHL Power Rankings

THE Winnipeg Jets are the best team in hockey, ranked first in our Power Rankings and are officially off to the best start to a season in NHL history. Last week, the Jets became the first team to win 14 of their first 15 games of the season.

The Jets lead the league in goals scored, goals against and power play percentage. Their 13th-ranked penalty kill comically seems like a potential weakness only when compared to their league-best rankings everywhere else. The Jets went a perfect 3-0-0 last week, outscoring Utah, Colorado and Dallas by a combined 8-1.

Offensively, the Jets are doing it by committee. Winnipeg doesn’t have a player in the league’s top ten scorers, but has eleven players with double-digit points. Defensively, the Jets have rock-solid goaltenders Connor Hellebuyck while posting the second-best expected goal in the NHL. There is no weakness.

During the first month of the NHL season, the Toronto Maple Leafs certainly had an identifiable weakness – the power play. The Leafs have scored three power play goals in their first twelve games. Well, thanks to a suddenly red-hot power play, Toronto jumped from 14th to 9th in our rankings. The Leafs have scored eight times with the power play in their last four games and have done so with Auston Matthews he missed the last three games. Anthony Stolarz continues to provide solid goaltending, ranking first in the NHL in quality starts – starts in which a goaltender finishes the game with a positive number of goals saved above expectations, with nine.

Consistency has not been a strength of the Leafs’ interprovincial rivals, the Ottawa Senators who gain a place from 12th to 11th. The Sens lost two games last week against the Sabers and Islanders before picking up an overtime victory against the Bruins. However, our model is still optimistic about the Senators despite their 17th ranking in points percentage. Ottawa ranks 13th in goal differential and 15th in expected goal differential. Linus Ullmark hasn’t played at the level he’s capable of to start the season. We’ll see if the Senators can string together a few wins, starting with a meeting with the Leafs on Tuesday in Toronto.

Down one place from 11th to 12th place, the Edmonton Oilerswho finished last week with a 1-2-0 record. The regression is slowly happening offensively for an Oilers team that finished October ranked 29th in goals per game, despite ranking in the top five in expected goals. Edmonton ranks tenth in goals per game in November after a 7-3 win over the Vancouver Canucks. Overall, the Oilers are fourth in expected goal differential and 20th in actual goal differential. Our model thinks this team will hit the ground running, much like they did this time last season. That said, goaltending continues to be an area to watch as the Oilers rank 26th in goals saved above expectation and 29th in team save percentage.

Vancouver fans will likely feel disrespected by their Canucks sitting 14th on our list while their team sits 9th in points percentage. However, the Canucks rank 15th in goal differential and 18th in expected goal differential. Vancouver has started to pick things up offensively in recent games, however, the team remains below average defensively in terms of process and results. That said, Vancouver has a chance to move up our list and, more importantly, in the standings with a slate of upcoming games that is far from intimidating. The Canucks host the Flames, Islanders, Blackhawks and Predators before closing out their six-game streak against the New York Rangers.

Speaking of the Flames, Calgary moved up three spots, going from 21st to 18th on our list. The Flames picked up four points from a possible six on their recent road trip, with all three games requiring overtime. Calgary has recovered from deficits in all three games and now leads the league in third-period comeback wins. As impressive as their resilience is, fighting back late in games is not a sustainable method for success. Calgary ranks 13th in points percentage and 21st in expected goals percentage. Our model is skeptical that the Flames will be able to continue at their current pace.

Finally, the last place Montreal Canadiens which ranks 32nd on our list for the second week in a row. The Habs have lost six games in a row and are the only team in the NHL allowing an average of more than four goals per game. The Canadiens rank bottom three in the league in slot shots, cycle chances and expected goals. Until Montreal finds a way to limit the dangerous chances it allows, it will struggle to overcome its defensive issues.