UFC 309 Betting Tips

• Jon Jones will win in Round 3 via KO, TKO or DQ – 10/1 Pari365

• Michael Chandler winner by finish – 11/4 Betfred

UFC 309 Betting Tips Overview

There’s so much talk about a Jon Jones fight that it’s almost possible to forget that he’ll step into the Octagon against Stipe Miocic in the wee hours of Sunday morning at New York’s iconic Madison Square Garden (1 a.m. , TNT Sports 1 and Discovery +).

The UFC heavyweight title belt is on the line in a gathering of titans; two men who have legitimate claims when it comes to the greatest fighters of all time.

Jones proclaimed his next opponent the GOAT heavyweight fighter even after destroying Ciryl Gane to win the strap last year via a first-round guillotine choke that sent shockwaves through the division.

Jones’ debut at heavyweight after defending the light heavyweight championship 11 times silenced many doubts about his ability to scale against bigger opponents. Miocic, who hasn’t fought since Francis Ngannou brutally knocked him to the ground in March 2021, is a major underdog despite being the most dominant heavyweight champion the UFC has ever seen.

A tasty note: Tom Aspinall is waiting in the wings if one of the fighters gives up. Jones and Miocic both distanced themselves from a fight with the interim heavyweight champion, who has brutally worked his way through the division in recent times.

Neither will want to face him at short notice.

While much of the attention is on Jones vs. Miocic at UFC 309, a blowout rematch between Michael Chandler and Charles Oliveira will warm up the crowd ahead of the main event.

Both simply have to win if we’re going to take their next attempt at the lightweight belt seriously in what has the potential to be the fight of the night.

UFC 309 Betting Tips: Jones will exploit Miocic’s weakness

It’s easy to hate Jones for his inactivity, but his demolition of Gane is extremely important to consider when picking a winner for this one.

Gane was supposed to be the pioneer of the new age; the generation that would replace the veterans still at the top of the bill. Jones was laid off for three years and hushed it up with minimal noise. Stepping up and doing this in your heavyweight debut suggests we don’t have to worry about his year away.

This is especially true when looking at Miocic’s recent history. His chances of becoming the first man to legitimately beat Jones, after Matt Hamill was victorious in 2009 following Jones’ disqualification, appear to have dissipated with time away, especially after his last fight ended.

It’s been four years since Miocic won his trilogy with Daniel Cormier and three years since Ngannou pointed out a weakness in his game: he gets hit more and more.

Jones should look to Miocic’s first fight with Cormier as a model on how to put him away. ‘DC’ controlled the clinch and put Miocic on his back with a short punch that he just didn’t see coming.

Miocic is slow to raise his hands out of exchanges and tends to leave his chin exposed when he advances. Someone as brutal in the clinch as Jones should have a ton of fun if he continues the trend.

Betting sites strongly favor a Jones victory with a better price of 2/11 for the 37-year-old to triumph. We will look at other markets for our predictions for this fight.

Early exchanges might be cautious as both men possess one-punch knockout power, but once Jones finds his range and spots Miocic, he has the guile and creativity to end the fight quickly.

UFC 309 Prediction 1: Jon Jones to win in third round via KO, TKO or DQ – 10/1 Pari365

UFC 309 Betting Tips: Chandler Tempting After Coming So Close

Michael Chandler waited and waited. This fight with Conor McGregor just wouldn’t happen, despite the promotion and hype. He couldn’t wait any longer and now faces an arguably tougher fight as he steps into the Octagon once again against former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira.

This is an extremely important fight in the careers of both men. Chandler has lost three of his last four fights, his only victory coming against Tony Ferguson, who somehow continues to book matches despite an eight-fight skid.

McGregor’s wait also left Chandler, 38, fighting against time; if the former Bellator loses at MSG, it’s probably game over.

Oliveira is a great example of how quickly things can change. One minute you’re champion and racking up wins over Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje. The next day you lose two out of three and you’re looking at Islam Makhachev, a champion who looks like he’s going to eliminate the entire division. Oliveira will no longer be in contention in the event of a defeat, so he should be careful.

The longer this fight lasts, the less chance Chandler has of winning. Just like the first fight, his best opportunity presents itself as soon as the opening bell rings. Oliveira did well to end the chaos last time, but nearly succumbed to Chandler’s blows after a scrambled exchange on the ground.

Chandler was one good punch away from putting a wilting Oliveira aside before the Brazilian’s survival instinct kicked in.

Oliveira finished the round then began to methodically work his opponent over before knocking him out magnificently in the second round.

It’s now or never for Chandler, a factor that should catch the attention of many punters on UFC Betting Sites offering attractive chances on an emphatic victory for the American.

UFC 309 Prediction 2: Michael Chandler will win at the finish – 11/4 Betfred

UFC 309 betting offers

New customers can secure free bets and much more by subscribing to new betting sites and established operators and betting on UFC 309 and other MMA events.

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All you have to do to claim your bonus is use the William Hill Listing Offer and promo code R30 before you sign up, deposit £10 and bet £10 on UFC or any other sport with equal or better odds.

Once your qualifying bet has settled, you will receive £30 in free bets paid out in three installments of £10 to use on sports betting.

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