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Trump’s New Economic Policies Could Negatively Impact Black Businesses, But Some Opportunities May Exist
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Trump’s New Economic Policies Could Negatively Impact Black Businesses, But Some Opportunities May Exist

A significant 24% of Black-owned businesses operate in industries dependent on imports impacted by tariffs. Due to the projected tariffs proposed by the Donald Trump administration, the annual revenue loss for these companies could range from $1.8 billion to $3.6 billion.

This estimate is based on an analysis by William Michael Cunningham, economist and CEO of Creative Investment Research. And it’s just one potentially game-changing example of the challenges Black businesses could face once Trump begins his second term as president.

While the impact of the new policies is unclear, a group of black economists agree that they could hurt black businesses struggling to compete with nondiverse, larger and financially stronger peers.

Trump’s proposed policies could raise the cost of consumer goods, increase the public debt and increase the cost of living for people earning less than $100,000. There is also uncertainty about the impact of his leadership on the Federal Reserve’s ability to control interest rates.

TRUMP’S AGENDA FACED CONCERNS FROM BLACK ECONOMISTS

BLACK BUSINESS interviewed several Black economists to understand what the next four years might look like depending on proposed policies in several areas. The Trump administration suggested reducing the corporate tax rate from 15% to 21%. While some business owners may welcome the reduction, other observers fear Trump’s protectionist business approach and are committed to eliminating the Affordable Care Act, creating costly systemic problems that could outweigh the tax benefit.

On the trade front, Trump has advocated tariffs of 10 to 20 percent on all imports and 60 to 100 percent on goods from China. He said these policies would create new jobs and help American manufacturers. However, the National Retail Federation estimates that these tariffs would cost consumers $78 billion annually.

Another concern is that Trump’s broader vision economic plan This could increase the federal deficit, which the report estimates could be between $3 trillion and $7 trillion.

PROPOSALS COULD CREATE A “MIXED BAG” FOR BLACK BUSINESSES

Cunningham added that Trump’s policies of protectionism, tax reform and welfare spending cuts could create a mixed bag for Black businesses. Tariffs often raise import prices for large, white-owned businesses that rely on international supply chains.

“Black businesses could suffer if customers reduce discretionary spending due to inflationary pressures caused by tariffs or supply chain disruptions. »

Romie Tribble, Jr., professor of economics at Spelman College, says black businesses in transportation/warehousing, retail, construction, food service, wholesale, manufacturing and agriculture are more dependent on imports and exports.